Archive for May, 2009

Season Post-Mortem, Part 2: Who Really Lost

Monday, May 25th, 2009

For such a disappointing season, the post-finale time is proving to have a lot of… entertainment value. Of course, it’s the same kind of entertainment a trainwreck provides, so your mileage may vary.

An awful lot of ink and bandwidth has been spent discussing just how Kris won over the “favorite” Adam. I’ll be blunt: an awful lot of it is absurd nonsense.

The nonsense generally comes in two flavors. The first one is this whole idea that the only reason that Kris won was due to… homophobia. Milder versions of this will not say it’s homophobia, but blame it on the broader “Culture Wars” idea.

Let me be blunt about this. Suggesting that Adam lost due to homophobia is the most ridiculous idea I have ever heard. It tells a lot more about those who would say such a stupid thing. It tells the rest of us decent folk that they cannot imagine a situation where others can be wrong for reasons other than hatred and groupthink. In short, they are some sort of Cultural Elite who decide What Is Right And Proper. That, in turn, is an utterly despicable idea.

Those who blame Adam’s loss on the Culture Wars may not be that wrong-headed, but it’s a revealing moment as well. Being truly objective in news reporting is hard, but people should at least try. The people blaming the loss on the “Culture Wars” know, deep-down, they got blind-sided. The part of America they never paid real attention to, as it turned out, was pretty damn big.  Blaming the loss on the “Culture Wars” betrays either the intellectual blinders too many people have, or the laziness that, in effect, made them to be little more than 19E stooges.

Adam Lambert didn’t lose much, if anything, this past Wednesday. One of the big losers was the big media, who all bought into the hype and ignored all evidence to the contrary. At the very least, people who pay attention will have… doubts. At worst, they’ll be regarded as complete and utter fools who don’t know what they’re talking about.

The other big loser was… the Idol producers. Yes, they may have found themselves two legitimate top-quality artists who will make them millions, but it came at an extreme cost: their credibility.

I’m not going to recap the whole tortured season here. You can read what I’ve written before for that, or the brilliant season review our friends at What Not to Sing put out here. Suffice to say that Season Eight saw unprecedented levels of producer manipulation – yet, in the end, all that power utterly, and completely, failed.

All that manipulation did was antagonize the long-suffering Idol fans. As a rule, we already aren’t predisposed to like 19E and Fox, based entirely on past behavior. Right now, though, Bernie Madoff could run Idol from his jail cell and be better trusted than the current crop.

In fact, you can argue that the manipulation made the show significantly worse – not just in angering fans, but making the singing significantly worse. Consider what was pointed out to me by my friends at WNTS: the bottom half of the finalists – Lil, Scott, Megan, Michael, Alexis, Jasmine, and Jorge – had a total of 23 performances in the finals.  How many scored over 50? Two. One from Lil, another from Alexis. That’s it.

What that means is that the top thirteen – with the exception of Allison and Kris, the Accidental Finalists – had largely turned out to be busts. Consider, too, that there was a lot of good talent left in the group round. The end result was a top 13 that was anything but the best singers of Season Eight – and everyone knew it.

Then came two months of the typical overpraise of the pimped. Adam was a fine singer, true, but the judges made excuses for those that they did like. *ahem*Danny*ahem*

Meanwhile, the Accidental Finalists were singing pretty well. Despite the lack of pimpage, they stayed in. And they got their own fanbases. They tried to run over Kris in the top four, and utterly failed.

In the end, the manipulation not only made the show considerably worse, it failed, completely. Kris won, and by all accounts the hype machine that was Adam Lambert got flatenned. Not only that, when the iTunes numbers came out, it turned out that Kris was winning there too. Things were not as the producers had said they were.

Can anyone really believe anything they say now? As it stands, if you appended a not to anything 19E and Fox say, it’d be closer to the truth. Not only that, all the manipulation is antagonizing the fanbase.

There are shows that have loyal fanbases that worship the ground their creators and producers walk on. What’s rare, however, is a show with the polar opposite. Idol fans may love the show, but the producers? No. Just no.

How long until the fans take out their anger at the producers on the show itself? Maybe we’re already seeing that. The ratings are already off from last year. No show can survive for long without angry and disaffected fans – who eventually stop being fans. Yet that is exactly what Idol’s PTB are in the process of doing.

Indeed, for acts that were all their doing, the biggest losers of the season were the producers. Some people are wondering if this is the year Idol jumped the shark. It may well be worse. This may be the year the golden goose started dying.

Later this week: Our Season Post-Mortem, Part 3: Where We Go From Here.

Finale Results: Kris Allen, Slayer of the Pimped

Thursday, May 21st, 2009

Back in February, I thought that Kris Allen had been a little lucky to win a semifinal slot outright due to the weakness of Group 2 (groupmates Allison Iraheta and Adam Lambert excluded). I also said then:

If Allen is a smart guy, he should take this golden opportunity and run with it. If there’s anyone who can take the underdog-who-got-much-better role this year, Allen appears to be it.

To say that Kris lived up to my early prediction is a giant understatement. He improved massively from the quiet, almost-tentative fellow early on to the incredibly confident, gutsy fellow who could take on contemporary songs like Heartless and put his own spin on it.

One would have thought that Adam, who has impressive vocal talents of his own, would have been a prohibitive favorite. After all, all the hype – from the usual media sources, even from some segments of the Idolsphere – had been all but crowned and hailed as The Next Big Thing.

Now, how could someone called that lose? It should have been obvious to everyone from Day One: no matter how good Adam was at doing what he does, that could only appeal to so many people. That’s true of any contestant, but that was more true of Adam than any contestant in the finale except Blake Lewis.

Our full analysis of the results – and the season – will have to wait until the weekend. However, here’s two big points that need to be pointed out from all the media coverage:

  1. This was not some giant “shock” as I’ve seen the headlines proclaim. Not at all. A lot of people bought into the Lambert hype – and their excuse for not realizing that is to call the results a surprise. It wasn’t, as I explained yesterday already.
  2. Two straight seasons have had strong manipulation by TPTB in an attempt to get the outcome they wanted. Both times America reacted poorly. If insanity is defined as doing the same thing and expecting different results, 19E is well on the way to that.

One more thing. Last year the gap between the two Davids, vote-wise, was announced – about 12 million votes. Now, this year, they announced the vote total, but not the margin (unless I missed it somewhere). I wonder why…

Finale: Sabotaged By Kara DioGuardi

Wednesday, May 20th, 2009

The Idol winner’s song is infamous throughout the whole world of television and music for being possibly the worst song known to man. They’ve always been bad, even though some – Inside Your Heaven, My Destiny, This Is My Now – are exceptionally bad.

Now, I wasn’t quite sure what to make of this year’s winner’s song. Kara DioGuardi was involved, which I didn’t know if it was a good or bad sign. As it turned out, whatever her faults as a judge, they were wildly eclipsed by the giant heap of failure that was No Boundaries. There are no boundaries to how bad it was. If one didn’t know any better, you’d think Kara DioGuardi was on the ABC payroll, paid to deliberately sabotage Idol.

The rest of the night went more smoothly. Historically, reprises don’t do well on the Idol stage, but both Kris and Adam did well on their reprises – Ain’t No Sunshine and Mad World, respectively. By far, they shared the strengths – and weaknesses – of the original performances earlier in the season. Adam swapped out the silly lighting for a trenchcoat and dry ice… perhaps, as he tends to do, distract from otherwise great vocals with the theatrics. Kris is absolutely brilliant at deeply felt, emotional songs, and he was just that last night. The piano was a perfect touch as well. Well done to both of them.

Simon Fuller is, fundamentally, a talent manager – not a musician. Sure, you can’t be a talent manager of singers without knowing something about music, but that doesn’t mean your infallible either. Both of his picks were… less than impressive. Of course, for some reason or another Fuller decided to pick more “socially relevant” songs. Now, whenever you decide that something other than music drives whether you think a song suits a person or not, it’s not always a good thing.

A Change Is Gonna Come was pleasant enough to listen, but… the vocals were uneven in spots. I’m not a fan of the wailing/shouting/whatever you want to call it. One might say the song called for it, and that may well be the case. However, at times, it was less of a song and more of an exercise in range, wailing, and glory-noting. Don’t think it was a bad performance, but was it the uber-performance the judges said it was? Nowhere close.

At least it left an impact, though. Kris’s What’s Goin’ On didn’t have anything going on. It wasn’t bad to listen to. There was just no impact; it was just there. Kris’s vocals were there, but… it was the sort of performance you forget right after hearing it.

Overall, Simon Fuller’s picks were something of a wash. One flawed performance versus a forgettable one… Adam won, largely because for all its flaws, his was memorable. Kris’s wasn’t.

The best song of the night belonged to Carrie Underwood, but really, that’s not a fair comparison. My only complaint about Home Sweet Home was the accompanying video montage: did we really need to see all those moments from auditions and Hollywood week, episodes that I’d prefer to commit to the memory hole. Wouldn’t some shots from, well, the finals been better?

Put money on it?: If anyone thought the finale would make someone out to be a clear winner, it wouldn’t. Overall, Adam might be a bit ahead – his advantage over Kris in the second song was smaller than his gap in the first. True, he was better with the winner’s song, but it was sufficiently bad that it won’t matter.

So, like previous seasons, the finale won’t matter as far as who actually wins. Broadly, there are two kinds of finales: a closely-matched duel, or a complete and utter mismatch. This was definitely the first case.

In that situation, then, you look at how broad the fanbase of each contestant is. For that, Kris has to have the edge: there are just too many questions about his style. No one’s denying he’s very good at what he does. However, does what Adam do really appeal to a wide audience – wider than Kris’s? It’s hard to say. There’s at least a third of people who’ll like it, a third who’ll hate it, and everyone else will be thing, “what’s that?”

Here’s another thing to consider. Last week, Kris was basically within shouting distance of Adam, if not leading him narrowly. That was with Danny’s voters still in the picture. Does anyone think that fanbase will break anywhere near 50/50? I don’t. Those who still vote will break at least 2:1 for Kris.

It’s been clear all season long that TPTB want Adam to win. They’re not dumb, so they avoided doing (mostly) the one thing that would have ensured a loss: throwing Kris under the bus. Given the favorable treatment that Adam has received all season long, more attempts to sabotage Kris was likely to provoke a viewer revolt, just like last year. True, A Change is Gonna Come was overpraised, but it wasn’t completely ridiculous and the comments were at least defensible. Will there be a backlash against the pimping on principle? Maybe, but it won’t be as bad as it could have been.

This duel was a lot closer than Conventional Wisdom ever said. Adam wasn’t quite the frontrunner, and neither was Kris this underdog fighting against the odds. This won’t be a 12-million-vote blowout. I wouldn’t be surprised if the winning margin is less than a million. Still, the fact is that the finale didn’t change anything. This was determined largely by factors that have been in place since last week, if not much longer.

As those largely lean one way, the verdict is:

Kris Allen to win American Idol Season Eight.

Top 3 Performance Night: Stop Fighting Among Yourselves!

Wednesday, May 13th, 2009

Over the years, Top 3 night has given us some great gems of music. Our friends at What Not to Sing describe it as must-see-TV. However, given how things have turned out, our expectations were muted.

For at least the first half of the show, those low expectations proved right on track. They ranged between the mediocre to the bad. Kris Allen showed the limits of a song that “suited” him: it was so similar to his style, even a good vocal sounded like it was straight out of a karaoke bar. Kris couldn’t do anything to make it more interesting, because to do so would have taken him beyond his vocal ability. This song was something of a booby prize.

Adam Lambert also had a so-so outing with U2′s One. The start was, in our opinion, pretty good. When it started up though… no. It exposed his chief vocal limitation: at times, Adam can sound like he’s shouting the song, not singing it. On the plus side, Adam proved he could actually convey the emotions of a song without resorting to excessively slow ballads or over-the-top acting.

For all the mediocrity in both Adam and Kris’s performances, though, they were miles ahead of Danny. The performance aspects of it – moving about the stage, connecting with the audience, the interplay with the saxophonist – were pretty good. However, it couldn’t cover up the mediocre singing. This is the top three. My standards for a top three performance are pretty high, and this was nowhere near. No range, no power… this was an utter failure as a song.

Things looked up considerably in the second half of the show. Heartless was a remarkably gutsy call by Kris – and not the sign of someone lacking in their artistic abilities. This was the textbook example of making a song your own. His vocals were powerful when they needed to be, controlled when they needed be. This was the song of someone who had nothing left to lose and laid it all out live on the Idol stage. Brilliant.

There was a good song somewhere in Adam Lambert’s Cryin’. However, somewhere along the line it turned into something.. somewhat ordinary. It just didn’t have the overall quality of his past performances. The vocals were again a little too much screamy, the arrangement felt all over the place… it was good, yes, but not much further than that. This did not deserve all the praise it get in our opinion. Adam may have the ability to hit a high note and hold it, but there’s a lot more to music than that, Kara.

As for Danny… You Are So Beautiful was an enormous improvement over Dance Little Sister, but that doesn’t mean it was all that good either. Like his first song, Danny checked off everything needed for a top-notch Idol performance… except singing well. The slower song helped matters there a little, but I’d class it as no more than “decent”. And “decent” isn’t where contestants should be this late into the season.

Like the rest of the season, the Top 3 left us underwhelmed. One of Kris’s songs was brilliant, but the other was well-done copycat karaoke. Adam had an off night – perhaps the shift to multiple solo songs isn’t doing him any favors. Danny was disappointing; his performances were just not up to the standards of a top 3 show.

That’s what we meant: Just over the weekend, I wrote up Part 1 of our Season Post-Mortem and pretty much called out the judges and producers for thinking a little too highly of themselves this year.

Somewhere, the Idol gods must have nodded in agreement and decided to underscore our point by making fools of the judges this week. In a year full of low points for Randy, Kara, Paula, and Simon last night stands out for all the wrong reasons.

Maybe it’s just us, but it seems that the judges used up more time talking about each other than actually critiquing the songs. If the judges have issues backstage that are spilling over to the cameras, please, we really don’t want to hear about it.

Merit versus the bus: If it were just up to merit, this would be a ridiculously easy pick. Danny Gokey has been the very definition of underwhelming, and Kris was the best of the night by far.

However, the top three has been known to produce wacky results. (See: Melinda Doolittle.) Anyone could go home.

In all likelihood, though, it’s down to a Kris-versus-Danny fight. Simon defused the possibility of a surprise Adam boot with his plea for Adam fans to vote. It’s probably enough to keep him safe, although it’s quite likely he’ll be put in the bottom two.

Danny has a fanbase that is a lot stronger than it really deserves to be, based on the quality (or lack of) of his performances. Kris, on the other hand, shone the most last night. It should be a pretty even fight that’d be tough to call… in normal circumstances.

However, there is a catch. As medicore as Danny was, the judges – for the second week in a row – overpraised him. Paula’s song choice was vocally “very, very good”? Really now? And You Are So Beautiful was a “masterpiece”? What are the judges on, because I’d sure as heck like to find some.

With that in mind, it’s clear that Kris’s edge in performance won’t be as big in at least some minds as it ought to be. Danny will be perceived to have two good performances, whereas Kris will have only one.

In the end, when the producers really want a finale, they’ll probably get it. With that in mind…

The Idol Guy pick: Kris Allen to go home.